or how Time reveals TRUE Trends within BAD Data.
Great summary of the state of affairs. Thanks for the mention! I don't know why Gompertz does not get more consideration. It is a well-established Phenomenon and not at all difficult to apply.
I wonder why Germany in particular is suffering from so many excess deaths? When the 'pandemic' first hit, compared to England, they got off surprisingly lightly. This might be because they murdered less old folk with Midazolam or it might be because of Karl Friston's 'immunological dark matter', or a combination of both. It does suggest though that 'vaccinating' a population who already have a high degree of pre-existing immunity is not such a good idea.
"Great Swine Flu Pandemic of 2009"
That was a pandemic? I was living in a small town in Wyoming at the time (population less than 5000) and we were aware of swine flu but I don't recall anyone I knew being sick. However, two friends of mine who had been vaccinated had to be life-flighted to a regional hospital. One was in a coma for months and recovered, but was permanently disabled. It did not occur to us at the time to ask if they had been infected despite vaccination, or if perhaps the vaccination had caused the illness. Everyone assumed the former.
Germany has done quite well in the Pandemic compared to the US especially when you consider they have 21% of their population over 65 compared to the US at 16%
Looking at excess mortality compared to 2019 (US in parenthesis)
2020- 4.8%. (19%)
2021- 8.9% (22%)
2022- 12.8%. (16%)
US is actually worse since there is no adjustment for pull forward effect which is less of an issue for Germany since they had fewer deaths early.
Now I don’t know exactly whats going on in Germany in recent months. Too much noise in weekly numbers for my taste, but they have been experiencing prescription drug shortages, high inflation and are entering a recession, and flu has made a bit of a come back and COVID as immunity wanes, so might be a few factors acting synergistically
JOIN LOCAL REPUBLICANS TO BAN JABS. It started in Florida.
"I have tried to gleen (sic) some further insights from the correlations between variant waves and the test positivity curve but it remains inconclusive." I think this is because you have aggregate vaccination data (12+). If you broke it down by age groups (even young/old), you might find more insight?