Here the original comments from the first version of this post:
==
From: Patrick E Walsh
Hi,
you have used INCORRECT figures for 2022 in your article. You have used REGISTERED deaths IN 2022 while all other years are ACTUAL deaths.
The actual figures for 2022 will not be released until October 2024 which I highlighted in an article of mine ‘Excess Deaths in Ireland Age is no barrier’, that you read and commented on.
I also replied to your query as to where I got the figures saying ‘its important to remember that there is a difference between the Annual Report and the Yearly Summary’.
When the 2022 ACTUAL figures are released in Oct 2024 I have no doubt they will be much higher eg there were 33055 deaths regd in 2021 but the Actual deaths per CSO was 34844 as you used. Thats nearly 1800 extra !
I have broken my own rule as regards not critiqueing other peoples work unless asked because considering our previous correspondence I do not doubt your intentions in these matters.
I will not comment or engage again on this but you might consider the appropriateness of using Census 2022 pop analysis where hundreds of thousands of permanent irish people under 40 have emigrated over the last few years to be replaced by in many cases temporary immigrants whose deaths would never be registered in Ireland.
There is also an increased backlog of inquests for deaths in under 40s that I wrote about which means their deaths cant be registered eg 2 high profile inquests for young men who died duddenly in 2021 (T McGinty & R Butler) will not be in the figures. These are statistically important points as there are so few deaths in these age groups. There is also cause of deaths to be considered.
Here the original comments from the first version of this post:
==
From: Patrick E Walsh
Hi,
you have used INCORRECT figures for 2022 in your article. You have used REGISTERED deaths IN 2022 while all other years are ACTUAL deaths.
The actual figures for 2022 will not be released until October 2024 which I highlighted in an article of mine ‘Excess Deaths in Ireland Age is no barrier’, that you read and commented on.
I also replied to your query as to where I got the figures saying ‘its important to remember that there is a difference between the Annual Report and the Yearly Summary’.
When the 2022 ACTUAL figures are released in Oct 2024 I have no doubt they will be much higher eg there were 33055 deaths regd in 2021 but the Actual deaths per CSO was 34844 as you used. Thats nearly 1800 extra !
I have broken my own rule as regards not critiqueing other peoples work unless asked because considering our previous correspondence I do not doubt your intentions in these matters.
I will not comment or engage again on this but you might consider the appropriateness of using Census 2022 pop analysis where hundreds of thousands of permanent irish people under 40 have emigrated over the last few years to be replaced by in many cases temporary immigrants whose deaths would never be registered in Ireland.
There is also an increased backlog of inquests for deaths in under 40s that I wrote about which means their deaths cant be registered eg 2 high profile inquests for young men who died duddenly in 2021 (T McGinty & R Butler) will not be in the figures. These are statistically important points as there are so few deaths in these age groups. There is also cause of deaths to be considered.